I think OpenAI knows that if GPT-5 doesn’t knock it out of the park, then their shareholders won’t be happy, and people will start abandoning the company. And tbh, i’m not expecting miracles
over the time of chatgpt’s existence I’ve seen so many people hype it up like it’s the future and will change so much and after all this time it’s still just a chatbot
Exactly lol, it’s basically just a better cleverbot
SmarterChild ‘24
It’s actually insane that there are huge chunks of people expecting AGI anytime soon because of a CHATBOT. Just goes to show these people have 0 understanding of anything. AGI is more like 30+ years away minimum, Andrew Ng thinks 30-50 years. I would say 35-55 years.
At this rate, if people keep cheerfully piling into dead ends like LLMs and pretending they’re AI, we’ll never have AGI. The idea of throwing ever more compute at LLMs to create AGI is “expect nine women to make one baby in a month” levels of stupid.
People who are pushing the boundaries are not making chat apps for gpt4.
They are privately continuing research, like they always were.
But they’re also having to fight for more limited funding among a crowd of chatbot “researchers”. The funding agencies are enamored with LLMs right now.
One of the worst parts of this boom in LLM models is the fact that they can “invade” online spaces and control a narrative. For an example, just go on twitter and scroll to the comments on any tagesschau (german news site) post- it’s all rightwing bots and crap. LLMs do have uses, but the big problem is that a bad actor can basically control any narrative with the amount of sheer crap they can output. And OpenAI does nothing- even though they are the biggest provider. It earns them money, after all.
I also can’t really think of a good way to combat this. If you would verify people using an ID, you basically nuke all semblance of online anonymity. If you have some sort of captcha, it will probably be easily bypassed- it doesn’t even need to be tricked. Just pay some human in a country with extremely cheap labour that will solve it for your bot. It really sucks.
It’s a comprehensive information warfare doctrine.
I’m sorry for how nuts this sounds, but there are all 3 components - 1) the architecture benefiting bot farms, crushing minority opinions and saturating attention, 2) LLM’s and other such means to make this order of magnitude more efficient, 3) surveillance systems and insecure by design software and services so that only powerful would have privacy.
In the end result nobody can hear you scream if a much narrower authority than 20 years ago doesn’t want that.
I couldn’t muster my attention to start re-reading The Last of the Jedi and other such things from the Star Wars 20-0 PBY era, but all this really seems like ascent of a new totalitarian future. A well-prepared one, unlike the rookie attempts in the 1920’s and 1930’s. People in the West are going to feel well and think they have democracy and civilization, and also that parties committing a few holocausts in the other parts of the planet are totally not in bed with that democracy.
