I think you are accurate in thinking how things will be, if technology does not change too much.
But I think there will be many unknown changes that might alter that gloomy outcome.
While we have had a near unchanging server/client type of social media, it does not have to remain that way; and there can be incentives for mass migrations to new ways of communications. The fediverse or its technical descendants can be ported over later. They are seeds for later activism as well as inspiration and platforms for now
The fediverse is already a significant leap, because it’s federated instead of centralized, and it runs on volunteers and donations instead of corporate profits.
I also think it is up to the leftest communities already using the Fediverse to help power whatever lies in the future. All social networks today use, at its heart, concepts that existed since the earliest online boards in the 1980s.
I think the present day is similar to the early use of automobiles. The cars were there, but not the infrastructure. But once the roads and stations and mechanic shops were built, the cars were used more. We now have tens of millions of online servers used as phones, that we did not have even ten years ago. But full use of how they can be used collaboratively is still in its infancy. For example: collaborative servers, made up of tens of thousands of mobile devices dropping in and out of helping, instead of a fixed server, or cluster, used now. That would be a near future change away from current paradigm, but still possible for the current services to make the jump.
Whatever happens, the pressure to develop and use better systems, will always be there. We are now, and will forever be, in an arms race to have a free social internet. And I believe there will be explosive change and opportunities later. I also think there will be a lot of drama and disappointment too. But I believe in the success for communications
I think you are accurate in thinking how things will be, if technology does not change too much.
But I think there will be many unknown changes that might alter that gloomy outcome.
While we have had a near unchanging server/client type of social media, it does not have to remain that way; and there can be incentives for mass migrations to new ways of communications. The fediverse or its technical descendants can be ported over later. They are seeds for later activism as well as inspiration and platforms for now
The fediverse is already a significant leap, because it’s federated instead of centralized, and it runs on volunteers and donations instead of corporate profits.
I also think it is up to the leftest communities already using the Fediverse to help power whatever lies in the future. All social networks today use, at its heart, concepts that existed since the earliest online boards in the 1980s.
I think the present day is similar to the early use of automobiles. The cars were there, but not the infrastructure. But once the roads and stations and mechanic shops were built, the cars were used more. We now have tens of millions of online servers used as phones, that we did not have even ten years ago. But full use of how they can be used collaboratively is still in its infancy. For example: collaborative servers, made up of tens of thousands of mobile devices dropping in and out of helping, instead of a fixed server, or cluster, used now. That would be a near future change away from current paradigm, but still possible for the current services to make the jump.
Whatever happens, the pressure to develop and use better systems, will always be there. We are now, and will forever be, in an arms race to have a free social internet. And I believe there will be explosive change and opportunities later. I also think there will be a lot of drama and disappointment too. But I believe in the success for communications