I still don’t understand what trumps plan was with trying to punish brazil with import tariffs, brazil’s exports depend more on china who is going to probably eager to buy more, if anything it would more of an effective idea to tariff exports or outright ban exports of things brazil needs to for its animal and plant production, like disallow exporting USA made breeds of animals and plants, banning investment in brazils agriculture sector, banning fertilzer exports to brazil and export of agricultural machines to brazil.
Threats to tariff brazil’s export if anything push Brazil to depend more China, further pushing it away from USA’s influence
Brazil is highly dependent on fertilizer exports and agricultural machinery imports, as a student in a university in a course related to agriculture, I see USA made tractors daily, Brazil’s program to develop its own breeds of animals and plants for production is nowhere near as developed as USA’s, and although USA’s breeds often are not well adapted to Brazil’s climate they are often the few ones avaible that are viable commercially in a few key sectors
Saying Trump had a plan is pretty generous. I don’t see any evidence that any actually thinking went into his policies.
you mean again?
US has been fucking with South America since WWII with the CIA installing various dictators like Noriega, Pinochet, etc. Moslty driven by large US agriculture corps using slave labor.
in the far future; after the us empire has declined from a world power and into a regional power; its region is going to be latin america with less than handful of countries w any true independence based on military power and economic distance that already exists.
Although, the US will be in a much weaker relative position with Latin America at that point because it will not have the resources of the whole world available to it anymore.
as will latin america due to each economy being forcibly linked to the us economy; at first by us military power while it’s still strong enough to do so and then later by each country’s oligarchy that refuses to let go of their control.
i’m convinced that this tide change will take centuries like the roman empire did and our version of constantinople renaming to instanbul will take the form of a us demographics change so thorough that it will become indiscernible from any other latin american country; canada will build a wall that would make trump envious because of it while insisting that it’s construction has nothing to do w it.
At this point many Latin American countries are already doing more trade with BRICS than the US. Brazil is a good example. The US is being cut off economically precisely because countries are increasingly routing trade around the US. Trump’s tariff war accelerated the whole process dramatically.
I’d also argue that you can’t make a direct comparison with the Roman times here. One big difference is that rate of communication and the speed of transportation are orders of magnitude faster. Back in the days of the Roman empire a message would take months to go from one part of the empire to another. Shipping goods around was far less efficient as well. Hence the rate of change was inherently slower than it is today.
There’s also an interesting phenomenon to be aware of here. Problems can build up under the surface for a long time as their effects get amortized by the inertia of the system. But eventually, you hit an inflection point where all that accumulated pressure triggers a rapid phase transition. The whole structure lurches into a new state almost overnight. That’s what Lenin meant about there being decades where nothing happens, and weeks where decades happen.
A really fun book on the subject that I can highly recommend incidentally https://research.fit.edu/media/site-specific/researchfitedu/coast-climate-adaptation-library/climate-communications/psychology-amp-behavior/Meadows-2008.-Thinking-in-Systems.pdf
Oil down there
This is the question baked into microprocessors whenever an instruction requires or returns a tautology.
