Paywalled.

Betting odds are on Trump.

Yeah I get the weird paranoia about theil. That’s completely normal and sane. Instead of looking at the facts and the experience of the person doing the work, I’d point to the baba yaga instead

No. You just keep making things up. Typical silly liberal response. They know nothing about a topic and drone on about it.

It is weird how you think it was comparing the two when talking about Harris. It is the TDS the left has. It is weird as hell.

Who cares who Nate works for? He explains his work, it’s detailed and has been very accurate. He has also said he is going to vote for Harris, as everyone should.

It is well documented. So yes, it is an informed take.

Just noticed you cited 538 when I was citing Nate Silver. 538 has nothing to do with Nate Silver. He left some time ago and has called out the bad changes to their model.

It’s weird that I mentioned Kamala and that you kick in talking about Trump. Are you unable to talk about Kamala?

https://news.yahoo.com/news/nate-silver-slammed-over-trump-174617514.html

No, that is what he has been saying.

Last week, for instance, his forecast gave Trump a 64% chance of winning the Electoral College while giving Vice President Kamala Harris just a 35% chance of victory, even while the same forecast saw Harris as more likely to win the popular vote and his polling averages had her leading in enough swing states to take the election.

You article is from today, so I will have to read that.

No, just more likely to be mentally ill.

Well Liberals are much more likely to be mentally ill, so I suspect that is true.

she constantly lied and never really answered a question.

Expected by whom? That does not seem to be the consensus in any media I consume or with people I’ve talked to.

The experts. Nate Silver predicts that Trump’s odds are at 65%.

Since you can’t be more precise about what you need a cute for, then no, I can’t. Just asking for a citation because you don’t read the news is silly and unproductive.

This is very much a you problem.

This is crazy that there have been two attempts in such a short period of time.

Well this make some sense. I’ve seen a lot of software development shipped there recently.

Do you commonly ask people to cite common knowledge? Read the news if you can’t be more precise since this has all been reported in the news.

Cite what? Can you be more precise

Do you not even read what you type?

She fact checked? No she didn’t. She lied.

Sounds like we watched two different debates entirely. I found it very boring with both of them fibbing up a storm.

If Kamala did such a great job, why is she still expected to lose to Trump?

You said he was rocked by Harris which is false. She didn’t rock anything. You said in your comment he was losing it. He lost nothing.

No, it was not as bad as Biden’s debate. That is just a weird thing to say.

Yet her goal is to influence voters which she didn’t do. So really she didn’t win anything. It’s weird how the left thinks acting foolish wins a debate.

Debates are to change the views of voters to win the election. As of now, Trump is expected to beat Harris in the election.

So what did she “win”?

As I stated in my comment, he takes direct leadership in his businesses and his businesses filed.

It happens. Anyone with a basic understanding of business knows every business won’t be a success. I am familiar with his bankruptcies. That is how I know he has not personally filed for bankruptcy.

Bankruptcies are not “common” for successful business folks, but they do happen. Yes they are. They are very common. Small businesses fail at a very high rate. 20% in the first year. 49% within 5 years. 65% within ten years. https://www.commerceinstitute.com/business-failure-rate/#:~:text=What Percentage of Small Businesses Fail%3F 2024 Data,and 65.3%25 fail in their first 10 years.

She has worked as a public servant in a legal capacity, which we can certainly agree is important for a modern society

I would rather someone with more experience in the real world lead the country. I can’t say I am impressed with a lawyer who didn’t know the difference between a business failing and a personal bankruptcy. That doesn’t show the competence needed to run the country. Part of the reason she is expected to lose the election.

Yes, but that isn’t the same as Trump filing for bankruptcy. That was a lie. She has a pattern of lying, and she knows the difference. It is also a weird thing to judge someone on as it shows a lack of knowledge of the business world and proves she isn’t fit to lead the nation. She has no clue how to create jobs or that bankruptcies are common. Sometimes you hit a home run and sometimes you don’t. She wouldn’t know because she had never done either.