• freagle@lemmy.ml
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    1 month ago

    That’s not how war games work. The US ran the war games. They had a US team and a China team. The China team was made of US military strategists and they were given all of the known capabilities and quantities of the PLA from US intelligence. It’s not like they invited China to play a war game with them.

    • F_State@midwest.social
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      1 month ago

      It’s likely that war between China and the US would also include Japan which changes some of the math but Mainland China likely has substantial military assets unknown to the US. Taiwan’s main hope is Chinese incompetence or exaggerated effectiveness of their weapons which isn’t much to go on.

      What’s more likely is that China bribes Trump and Hegseth to stay out of any conflict.

      • freagle@lemmy.ml
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        1 month ago

        It is highly likely that the war games included US occupied territories like Korea and Japan.

        Again, if China is gonna bribe the US to stay away from Taiwan, then they have no need to attack Taiwan. I’ll say it till you people hear: attacking Taiwan, absent a threat of US military installation, is a net negative for China and China knows it

        • F_State@midwest.social
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          1 day ago

          Nothing about Mainland China’s obsession with Taiwan is about need. The two parties could easily have nothing to do with each other but China considers Taiwan “unfinished business” and Xi wants to secure his place in the history books while reversing “the century of humiliation” with a successful conquest against the wishes of the West/Japan.

          • freagle@lemmy.ml
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            16 hours ago

            Sure. It all comes down to individual psychology. That’s why the Chinese bureaucracy has maintained the same exact position on Taiwan across more than 5 leaders over 50 years. It’s just psychological.

            It certainly has nothing to do with the fact that the province of Taiwan comprises an island chain that currently has active US military stationed on it, the closest of which is only 4 miles off the coast of the mainland.