I don’t believe this will turn into a world war, because I’ve seen zero compelling evidence that it will. And I gotta point out that you’re not offering any here either.
Could China take advantage of this situation to make a move on Taiwan? Maybe. But I don’t really see how this meaningfully impacts the US posture in the South Pacific. Unless it actually starts drawing away resources to the point where there’s a real opening, it’s not actually going to change the math for China.
Russia is, as you’ve pointed out, already tied up in Ukraine. They’ve made no indication that they intend to meaningfully back up Iran in this conflict, and there’s no reason to expect that position to change now. At best they’ll funnel weapons and money to them like they did with North Korea and North Vietnam.
I think there’s absolutely the possibility for this conflict in the Middle East to sweep up more regional powers. That’s absolutely a justified concern. But again, that’s not a world war, and there’s no clear cause and effect that would turn it into one.
I don’t believe this will turn into a world war, because I’ve seen zero compelling evidence that it will. And I gotta point out that you’re not offering any here either.
Could China take advantage of this situation to make a move on Taiwan? Maybe. But I don’t really see how this meaningfully impacts the US posture in the South Pacific. Unless it actually starts drawing away resources to the point where there’s a real opening, it’s not actually going to change the math for China.
Russia is, as you’ve pointed out, already tied up in Ukraine. They’ve made no indication that they intend to meaningfully back up Iran in this conflict, and there’s no reason to expect that position to change now. At best they’ll funnel weapons and money to them like they did with North Korea and North Vietnam.
I think there’s absolutely the possibility for this conflict in the Middle East to sweep up more regional powers. That’s absolutely a justified concern. But again, that’s not a world war, and there’s no clear cause and effect that would turn it into one.