this type of stop-and-go conflict massively favors the US
good analysis, but this is false, because Iranian missile/drone production is higher than US’s, and so it recovers faster than US. JDAM production capacity is high though, even if 2026 budget is only for 2300, and are dependent on rare earths. 2026 budget cost is $80k/unit.
JDAMs are plane launched “dumb bombs” with extra guidance and fin system added on to be more precise. Iran doesn’t have much defensive systems against the planes, and the bombs themselves are generally not intercepted. Iran does produce more offensive missiles than US combined offensive and defensive missiles, in addition to intensive drone manufacturing by Iran.
Just as there was a 20:1 kill ratio in favour of US in Vietnam as a US metric for how awesome everything was going for the US, generaly, every hit on US allies and Israel counts as a cost that was never supposed to happen. Contrary to Pentagon propaganda about fewer Iran missile launches every day, damaging strikes seem to be steady or increasing.
good analysis, but this is false, because Iranian missile/drone production is higher than US’s, and so it recovers faster than US. JDAM production capacity is high though, even if 2026 budget is only for 2300, and are dependent on rare earths. 2026 budget cost is $80k/unit.
The consumable on the US side is interceptors, not missiles. Iran’s ability to land hits goes up dramatically once we are out of them.
JDAMs are plane launched “dumb bombs” with extra guidance and fin system added on to be more precise. Iran doesn’t have much defensive systems against the planes, and the bombs themselves are generally not intercepted. Iran does produce more offensive missiles than US combined offensive and defensive missiles, in addition to intensive drone manufacturing by Iran.
Just as there was a 20:1 kill ratio in favour of US in Vietnam as a US metric for how awesome everything was going for the US, generaly, every hit on US allies and Israel counts as a cost that was never supposed to happen. Contrary to Pentagon propaganda about fewer Iran missile launches every day, damaging strikes seem to be steady or increasing.