

Can bet on large swaths of people dieing but where’s the bet that Trump will be assassinated? Don’t they want an accurate forecast of that as well?


Can bet on large swaths of people dieing but where’s the bet that Trump will be assassinated? Don’t they want an accurate forecast of that as well?


Ask a prediction market and watch someone take the odds into their own hands.


Teflon Don, like Epstein, collected pictures of powerful people doing “embarrassing” things. Unlike Epstein he didn’t use a private island, he used hotels that catered to people with power.


And pax silica will lessen the geopolitical fallout by ensuring there is fab redundancy outside of Taiwan.


Since you are a software engineer you must know the difference between deterministic software like a spellchecker and something stochastic like an LLM. You must also understand the difference between a well defined process like a spellchecker and an undefined behavior like an LLM hallucinating. Now ask your LLM if comparing these two technologies in the way you are is a bad analogy. If the LLM says it is a good analogy then you are prompting it wrong. The fact that we can’t agree on what an LLM should say on this matter and that we can get it to say either outcome demonstrates that an LLM cannot distinguish fact from fiction, rather it makes these determinations on what is effectively a vibe check.


But doctors and nurses’ minds effectively hallucinate just the same and are prone to even the most trivial of brain farts like fumbling basic math or language slip-ups
The difference is that the practitioner can distinguish the difference from hallucination from fact while an LLM cannot.
We can’t underestimate the capacity to have the strengths of a supercomputer at least acting as a double-checker on charting, can we?
A supercomputer is only as powerful as it’s programming. This is avoiding the whole “if you understand the problem then you are better off writing a program than using an LLM” by hand waving in the word “supercomputer”. The whole “train it better” doesn’t get away from this fact either.


It’s what happens when you are surrounded by yes men. Also they can never experience genuine love without wondering if the person is just there for their money.


A spellchecker doesn’t hallucinate new words. LLMs are not the tool for this job, at best it might be able to take some doctor write up and encode it into a different format, ie here’s the list of drugs and dosages mentioned. But if you ask it whether those drugs have adverse reactions, or any other question that has a known or fixed process for answering, then you will be better served writing code to reflect that process. LLMs are best for when you don’t care about accuracy and there is no known process that could be codified. Once you actually understand the problem you are asking it to help with, you can achieve better accuracy and efficiency by codifying the solution.


Step 1: place a bet on a prediction market that Dr Oz will be alive past a certain date
Step 2: get others to place “bets”
Step 3: pew pew
Step 4: someone gets rich
Edit: this is why such markets should be illegal
It’s not an either or, many feminists champion other issues.


My understanding of the ML-version of events is that there were different protests happening at the same time. One was led by the students but there were others led by farmers, workers, etc in the same vicinity. The students are depicted as generally Marxist while the workers were asking for liberal reforms and they were the ones that got massacred. Without an independent media on the ground it is hard for me to know what’s what though. Point is, this image doesn’t contradict with the ML-version of events.
It’s not even profitable though… At this point it seems it is just about control, like they would rather have a money pit then let independent workers, ie creatives, have any profit.


I do wonder if they had a referendum whether this war would have been avoided. Maybe I’m just being idealistic but even if Crimea had voted to stay with Ukraine then that would have at least gone a long way to show it isn’t simply the will of the hegemon. Or if Crimea had voted to go independent then the international community could create a new security agreement.


2020: you have your facts and I have my facts
2025: you have your prompts and I have my prompts


Yes, that is good of China to not act like the USA. Which is why it is concerning when they start to act like a more competent version of the USA.


I wasn’t the one who made that claim of Xi, I was the one who showed up with receipts and said you would have to read between the lines to arrive at a similar conclusion: that Xi & the party will use force if necessary to achieve the goal of reunification. Do you not think that is more relevant?


Glad you specified pre-2022, as in before the invasion that displaced many residents; yeah, I would support any region to hold referendums on the matter of self-determination. I think Ukraine was wrong to keep their people from voting on the matter, if they had issues with the process then they should have worked towards consensus on the matter of having a legitimate referendums.


Like I said, I recommend reading literature on the matter from CCP members to get more context on the matter. It won’t help you shit post for karma but it does help one make sense of things.
Sometimes the pictures are for your doctor.