Trump is dying to use a nuke, and the only thing he cares about is money. Tie using a nuke to the potential for financial gain in the Trump family and the potential increases drastically. Trump has his dementia, narcissism, and sociopathic behavior on full display, and has zero concern for any long-term effects of his actions. If nuking a country makes his bank account numbers go up, it’s definitely being considered.

If the Epstein stuff continues to grow and get worse for him, a nuke is almost guaranteed.

There’s a reason that betting on the death of people is illegal - it provides a way to finance a hitjob on someone indirectly. In fact, betting against their death provides the funds that would entice someone to take it into their own hands.

This is the same thing but on a much bigger scale.

For one, its not gambling if there is not an element of chance. Gambling is only the case where people dont know who will win the Super Bowl, or whether or not you will draw a blackjack at the casino, etc.

If people have direct control over the event being bet on, to the extent that it is not affected by any element of chance, then its not gambling. Its just people with control over a given situation rigging a game to take money from other people. If you went to the casino and the roulette dealer could bet on the game and control where the ball landed that wouldnt be gambling. Neither are prediction markets in most cases.

That doesnt even get into the issues with ethics and incentivizing people in control to do terrible things (or otherwise act amorally or irrationally) just to make money in the prediction market