• Asafum@feddit.nl
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    1 month ago

    I’m generally a pessimist, but I really honestly think he’s going to win even without the ratfuck plans they have for the swing states…

    Polls always show him well under what his actual support is and we’re close enough that it should put him in a decent lead…

    I do still expect a state like Georgia to “find irregularities” on election night that will trigger the hand counting which will drag out long enough for them to have SCOTUS step in and tell them to stop counting again regardless…

    :(

    • Notyou@sopuli.xyz
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      1 month ago

      There’s always a chance and he will be ratfucking everything he can, but this is a very different base than in 2016. The crowds aren’t there. My family hasn’t been annoying, as much. I heard one say to his friend (at a family thing) “I just try not to think about it and only focus on what I can…blah…family.” he was talking about some bs repub lie of the day to his friend. I know it’s not a poll, but a lack of excitement from trumpers is a positive sign.

      Still go vote. It’s not a 100% thing and Trump will be flinging more lies around.

      • Sc00ter@lemm.ee
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        1 month ago

        But im guessing your family member will still vote for him. It doesn’t matter how enthusiastically he casts the ballot, a votes a vote

        • Notyou@sopuli.xyz
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          1 month ago

          They still will, yes. I was just speaking generally if the motivation to vote is low then some people will skip it. This will led to lower turnout overall.

          Kinda like I would have still voted for Biden in nov, but there would have been a lower turnout for the Dems. Obviously both of these views could be wrong, but motivation for a candidate is a factor for turnout.

      • toynbee@lemmy.world
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        1 month ago

        Pessimists only get happy surprises.

        I recently told my wife that I’ve started partially avoiding politics because I couldn’t take the hits anymore. She responded (paraphrasing) “you should, it’s been mostly good news!”

        I responded by referencing the “don’t do that, don’t give me hope” meme.

        If the worst happens, I won’t be surprised. If the alternative does, I will be delighted and surprised.

        edit: Sorry, I’m exhausted for unrelated reasons and that was probably rambling. You can probably safely ignore every part of this post after the first sentence. Hopefully that one adds some conversational or morale value.