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Cake day: June 23rd, 2023

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  • I don’t think that’s the game being played now, the new meta is forcing your enemy to be so busy tearing themselves apart that you are free to act anywhere in the world.

    If Russia wins in Ukraine, then the Sino-Russian axis can start taking a more active stance in the middle-east, and Israel has to deal with Iran without a blank cheque from the US, and even Saudi Arabia has to make compromises.

    It’s in all their interests that the US fall to utter chaos, and Trump is the Lord of Chaos incarnate.

    The argument against that is that Iran actually had a chance under Obama to rejoin parts of the global order, and was open to that.

    I think one mistake we all make in geopolitics is to see countries as monolithic, I suspect Iran has political factions that want to bury the hatchet, and factions violently opposed to the same, much like every country has different opinions among themselves.










  • No, they have many other plans, mostly to try to create legal arguments at the last minute for why the election should happen but was illegitimate.

    Basically 2020 on steroids because they have the money for lawyers already.

    But also, there’s hope this is trumps last hurrah, and after this the party will magically go back to only caring about tax cuts and gun rights, like this was all a bad dream.

    I think you massively underestimate how hard paleoconservatives are trying to delusionally rationalize their way out of this so they can both get the votes of the racist, violent dixiecrats, while always pretending they aren’t actually a part of the party.

    They just want to get back to that again.







  • that can’t be employed at scale as readily

    Well there’s your problem right there:

    You’re concerned we can’t scale up arbitrary killings? Would you prefer something on a larger, more industrial scale, perhaps with large, gas-fueled ovens?

    Killing should be hard, and it should be personal, not vaguely waving a hand in a general direction. You should know their name and hopefully have filled out a few forms beforehand.

    If you want to kill somebody, when you aren’t at war with their entire country, then BE SPECIFIC.

    Drone strikes that take out a known Al-Queda leader: ✅

    Drone strike that takes out a random Afghan wedding: ❌